Dashboard/Customer Service Automation by 2028

Job DisplacementBy 2028

Customer Service Automation by 2028

50%+13pp / 13mo

Confidence range: 28% to 50%

50% of all customer service interactions — phone calls, chat messages, emails — are projected to be resolved entirely by AI without a human agent ever getting involved. This doesn't mean 50% of CS jobs disappear, since the remaining interactions may need more skilled human agents, but headcount reductions are widely expected.

Best estimate from NBER (Brynjolfsson, Li, Raymond) (Verified Data & Research)

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How This Prediction Has Evolved

Each data point is from a different source. Dots are color-coded by evidence tier.

Sources (14)

Zendesk AI Customer Service Statistics 2026
ZendeskJan 15, 2026News

95% of customer interactions projected to be AI-powered by 2028. Current AI resolution rates at leading companies exceed 55% without human escalation.

Gartner Forecasts 20-30% of CS Agents Replaced by GenAI by 2026
GartnerOct 15, 2025Institutional

Gartner projects 20-30% of customer service agents will be replaced by generative AI by end of 2026. AI adoption in CS jumped from 46% to 61% in one year.

AI in Customer Service: 2025 Outlook
DeloitteAug 1, 2025Institutional
Generative AI at Work
QJE (Brynjolfsson, Li, Raymond)May 1, 2025Research

AI assistance increases customer service worker productivity by 15% on average. Less experienced workers improve most; AI disseminates best practices from top performers.

Teleperformance 2024 Annual Report — AI Transformation Strategy
Teleperformance (Annual Filing)Mar 15, 2025Research

World's largest CX outsourcer disclosed 15% workforce reduction in 2024, explicitly citing AI chatbot deployment by clients as primary driver.

Shopify Q4 2024 Earnings — AI Customer Support Metrics
Shopify (Earnings Call)Feb 12, 2025Research

Shopify reported its AI assistant Sidekick now resolves 40% of merchant support queries without human intervention, up from 12% one year prior.

Customer Service Job Postings Decline 18% YoY
Indeed Hiring LabJan 15, 2025Institutional

Customer service representative postings declined 18% year-over-year. Remaining postings increasingly require technical skills and AI tool familiarity.

Generative AI and Customer Service: Evidence from Customer Support Interactions
NBER (Brynjolfsson, Li, Raymond)Sep 1, 2024Research

AI assistance increased worker productivity by 14% on average, with greatest gains for novice and low-skilled workers.

How AI is Transforming Customer Service
Harvard Business ReviewMay 10, 2024News
Klarna AI assistant handles two-thirds of customer service chats in first month
KlarnaFeb 27, 2024Research

Klarna's AI assistant handled 2.3 million conversations, doing the equivalent work of 700 full-time agents.

The State Of Customer Service Automation
ForresterAug 15, 2023Institutional